Saturday, 10 July 2010

Octo-Prophecy?

Reports that 'Paul the octopus' has been challenged in his 'predictions' of success for teams in the Soccer World Cup by a parakeet need examining (http://news.oneindia.in/2010/07/10/finals-psychic-paul-octopus-vs-mani-parrot.html). The 'infallable' octopus made his 'predictions' by choosing to seek a mussel in a box labelled with the flag of the winning team. One assumes the test (similar to tossing a coin) was done fairly (you could bias it by making the bait differ in size or attractiveness) but even so the success of the 'predictions' is certainly based on odds far better than those applying to people in lotteries. Paul predicts Spain in the final and Mani the parrot the Netherlands. One of them is bound to be right. A cunning way to get a bit of media attention?

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