Wednesday 20 March 2019

Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics?


It just shows you how stories can be twisted to 'reveal' untruths. On every measure, the UK has a poorer cancer cure rate than virtually all  its current EU partners. But a story that predicted declines in breast cancer mortalities in the UK would be greater than in France and Germany (https://metro.co.uk/2019/03/19/uk-predicted-to-have-one-of-the-biggest-falls-in-breast-cancer-deaths-across-eu-8941591/) was reported as if it was a great achievement! This is a predicted decline and does no journalist appreciate that it is easier to get a 'substantial' decline when the initial baseline is higher?

No comments:

Birder's Bonus 233

Unusually, a Mute swan ( Cynus olor ) was floating on the Loughor estuary near Bynea.