This blog may help people explore some of the 'hidden' issues involved in certain media treatments of environmental and scientific issues. Using personal digital images, it's also intended to emphasise seasonal (and other) changes in natural history of the Swansea (South Wales) area. The material should help participants in field-based modules and people generally interested in the natural world. The views are wholly those of the author.
Thursday, 4 February 2021
When Additions Don't Help?
It was scary enough, when the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), used modelling to predict that the current rate of global heating would produce a 1.1 m increase in sea level by 2100. Most of the world's human populations are clustered around the current coasts. Island nations and low-lying parts of the globe would also be threatened. Food production would be devastated. A study from the University of Copenhagen's Niels Bohr Institute suggests the IPCC model needs tweaking to take into account past changes in sealevels (https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/feb/02/sea-level-rise-could-be-worse-than-feared-warn-researchers). The Niels Bohr Institute's model predicts, in a worst case scenario, sea level rises that are faster and greater than those predicted by the IPCC. They estimate a rise of 1.35 m by 2100. If their new model is correct (and the authors appear confident), we need even faster action to mitigate climate change.
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