This blog may help people explore some of the 'hidden' issues involved in certain media treatments of environmental and scientific issues. Using personal digital images, it's also intended to emphasise seasonal (and other) changes in natural history of the Swansea (South Wales) area. The material should help participants in field-based modules and people generally interested in the natural world. The views are wholly those of the author.
Friday, 5 March 2021
Developing a Cassandra Complex?
Cassandra was a mythological Trojan priestess, fated to make accurate prophecies, without ever being believed. I appreciate there is an element of self-absorption (probably related to my relative social isolation in Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns) but I'm starting to worry that I might be showing some of the same characteristics. I also understand that, in the current world, we operate in circles, where we will be bombarded by like-minded information sources (I have posted previously on confirmation bias). Finally, I am fully aware that nobody likes an old pessimist. What is the evidence for my concerns? I am neither a virologist nor a disease expert (I was, in my former life, a Psychobiologist) but, for sometime, I have expressed doubt in posts that we will be returning, anytime soon (even with the arrival of vaccines), to a pre-SARS-CoV-2 world. I now find reports that experts, who were originally optimistic that vaccines could help countries achieve 'herd immunity' (nearly eliminating Covid-19 transmission, by a combination of vaccination and previous infection), are coming to the same view (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-variants-insight-idUSKBN2AV1T1). I am not a travel expert but posted my strong reservations about the likely effectiveness of the UK's quarantine system, aiming to keep variants of Covid-19 out of the country. Gabriel Scally, now describes the scheme as 'England's foolish quarantine system' and says it offers little protection against Covid variants (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/mar/04/uk-quarantine-vaccination-programme-covid-variants). I also posted, generally pessimistic comments, about global heating/climate change (unseasonally pleasant weather worries me); 'cunning plans' by policians to achieve carbon zero by 2050 (when I won't be around); losses of biodiversity (clearly evident in my lifetime); the growth of anti-Science/misinformation (as a strong believer in Education, this upsets me) and the need for strong international cooperation to solve many challenging situations (when sections of the world seem hell-bent on nationalism). The feedback has also generally supported, rather than allayed, my fears in these areas (although I would not claim to be expert in any of them either). Perhaps I really am a Cassandra? Or could it just be that, sometimes, the answers are so obvious, you don't need to be a specialist?
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