Wednesday 23 February 2022

Spreading Like Wildfires

The wildfires in Australia, California, Canada, Siberia and Turkey all tended to dominate the news in 2021. People will, however, be unsurprised to learn that experts are predicting that wildfires are likely to increase by a third by 2050 (https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/feb/23/climate-crisis-driving-increase-in-wildfires-across-globe-says-report-aoe). This increase in wildfires would presumably be with or without any major lowering of 'greenhouse gas' emissions between now and 2050. It has taken decades of human activities to boost atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide to their present levels. The concentrations of this climate-changing gas are unlikely to come down quickly (even with carbon capture). Wildfires, of course, by their very nature, make other wildfires more likely. We might, by 2050, get wildfires in some currently very unexpected locations.

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