Thursday, 31 December 2020

Crisis, What Crisis?

I wish I could be as optimistic as John Sauven who thinks, that in 2021, humanity may direct the same collective effort, to solving the problem of climate change, as they did to dealing with the Covid-19 pandemic of 2020 (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/dec/31/amid-2020s-gloom-reasons-hopeful-climate-2021). I personally feel that the cases are very different. The Covid-19 pandemic presented clear and obvious dangers to all branches of society (albeit some moreso than others) in all countries. There were health dangers (including 1.6 million deaths) and immediate economic problems, that were obvious to all. Everyone had a vested interest in solving both, including the usually short-termist politicians (a solution within their terms of office was desirable). Nobody was really against coming up with solutions, unless you count the antivaxx movement and ultra-libertarian folk. The main debates were about the relative importances of the health and economics. There were even kudos and money to be made in finding solutions. Although the dangers of climate change should now be becoming more widely evident, they don't affect all stratas of society and countries equally. There still seem to be quite a few people (including some prominent politicians), who really don't see the urgency needed to deal with this issue. There is a poor understanding of tipping points, when reversing changes can become difficult or even next to impossible. Climate change has real opponents, such as some major petrochemical companies and politicians hell-bent on 'growth'. I suspect that there will be a demand to get the economies functioning as they were before, as we come out of the Covid-19 pandemic. More emissions, more beef, more air travel, exotic holidays, space tourism et cetera, et cetera. I hope I am wrong. I cannot, however, see the same kind of collective endeavour being directed towards finding solutions for this, even more dangerous, emergency.

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