Friday, 8 October 2021

Why Do We Get This Data in Every Evening News Bulletin?

For many months, every evening BBC news bulletin, has routinely concluded with daily numbers of a) reported 'new' Covid19 infections; b) patients hospitalised with a Covid19 infection; c) people dying within a 28 days of a positive Covid19 test; d) subjects receiving a first vaccination dose and e) people having a second vaccination dose. Generally, percentages of these categories as well as tentative 'graphs'are also shown. There are some obvious issues about the reliability of the data. Firstly, have all the figures, from England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales, been added in before 'the numbers' are reported? This is not always the case. In addition, these constituent countries of the UK, appear to collect their data in slightly different ways and sometimes seem to use variable criteria for including a person in 'the count'. Secondly, information reported at 'weekends' is routinely incomplete. This obviously magnifies numbers on the following weekdays. So, 'daily numbers' are not actually daily. Thirdly, numbers and percentages fluctuate, as younger categories, approved for vaccination, are added to the list. The vast majority of news watchers will no clear ideas about any trends evident in the figures. Viewers will also generally have no knowledge of what is happening in other countries. It is appreciated, of course, that it might be difficult to make meaningful comparisons. Most viewers will probably not realise, for example, that the percentage of people double-vaccinated in some countries, now exceeds that in the UK. They will also not know whether other countries are doing things differently, like combining vaccination with other requirements like social distancing. They consequently will not know whether different strategies have better or worse outcomes. It is appreciated that professional scientists and medics will be there to check on such things and advise government. The basic question is, however, what is the benefit to the general public of the daily numbers? Are people actually better informed at the end of this process? Is it simply a mantra, giving an impression of 'informing'?

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