This blog may help people explore some of the 'hidden' issues involved in certain media treatments of environmental and scientific issues. Using personal digital images, it's also intended to emphasise seasonal (and other) changes in natural history of the Swansea (South Wales) area. The material should help participants in field-based modules and people generally interested in the natural world. The views are wholly those of the author.
Tuesday, 9 November 2021
Nearly In the Bag?
Some scientists are worried that early political comments from Cop26, in Glasgow, might have left the impression that keeping global heating to 1.5C above pre-Industrial levels was 'nearly in the bag'. The trusted Climate Action Tracker (CAT) suggests, however, the picture is far from rosy (https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/nov/09/cop26-sets-course-for-disastrous-heating-of-more-than-24c-says-key-report). The CAT did an analysis, based on the short-term goals of countries for the next decade. In its most optimistic scenario, with full implementation of all announced targets etc, CAT found that the temperature increase would still be 1.8C. It found, however, that real world action based on current policies would produce an increase of 2.7C. So, even the most optimistic scenario doesn't get us to a 1.5C limit and current activity takes us a dangerously high figure. Optimistic noises might have been a little premature?
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