Wednesday, 21 July 2021

A Not So Irreversible 'Freedom Day'?

The UK PM always maintained that, when 'Freedom Day' arrived in England on the 19th of July, there would be no going back. Only a day later (20th July), the number of new Covid19 cases stands at more than 46.5k and there were almost 100 deaths. These are the highest figures for nearly 4 months. The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) are now saying it may be necessary to reintroduce face masks and other restrictions in as little as 3 weeks (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/21/england-may-have-to-reimpose-covid-rules-in-august-scientists-warn). SAGE say that reimpositions will have to happen, if hospitalisations rise above an anticipated level (from modelling) of 1-2000. In this scenario, even with vaccine protections, there would be 1-200 daily deaths. In mid July (just before 'Freedom Day'), there were already 745 daily hospital admissions. There was an opportunity (not taken) to delay the dropping all restrictions simultaneously. Is this what they call being 'science led'? Some politicians appeared so intent on 'opening up', that the public have become collateral damage in their game of 'chicken'.

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