This blog may help people explore some of the 'hidden' issues involved in certain media treatments of environmental and scientific issues. Using personal digital images, it's also intended to emphasise seasonal (and other) changes in natural history of the Swansea (South Wales) area. The material should help participants in field-based modules and people generally interested in the natural world. The views are wholly those of the author.
Wednesday 8 June 2022
Is the End of the Covid19 Pandemic Nigh?
There have been a spate of politicians on BBC TV, telling Brits that the covid19 pandemic is 'over'. Aris Katzourakis (Oxford University) is much more knowledgable than these windbags ((https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/jun/01/covid-pandemic-end-vaccinated-countries-disease). Katzourakis poses the question 'Is the Covid pandemic finally nearing its end?'. He suggests that an 'end' will certainly not occur in 2022. Katzourakis feels, however, that the behaviour of Sars-CoV-2 in highly vaccinated countries (like the UK) may offer a glimpse of what an endpoint might look like. There is now clearly a low risk of severe disease, from any given infection. In spite of this, Katzourakis says we will need a better understanding of the cumulative disease toll of reinfections (these are likely to be regular). He also thinks we will get some idea of the liklihood of further Omicron-like immune escape events. New vaccination strategies may well be needed to deal with these. Fairly obviously, Katzourakis is not at all convinced there will be a clean 'end' to the pandemic. We will be 'living with' the virus.
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