This blog may help people explore some of the 'hidden' issues involved in certain media treatments of environmental and scientific issues. Using personal digital images, it's also intended to emphasise seasonal (and other) changes in natural history of the Swansea (South Wales) area. The material should help participants in field-based modules and people generally interested in the natural world. The views are wholly those of the author.
Tuesday, 5 April 2022
A Fast Approaching Collision With Reality?
Data presented in the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change most recent report, was used in a calculation, that appears in the journal Weather (https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/apr/05/when-will-world-reach-global-heating-limit-ipcc-climate-crisis). That calculation shows it's 'pretty much inevitable' global heating will exceed 1.5 degrees Centigrade above pre-Industrial values. It seems that that Paris 'benchmark' (itself, a hopeful 'guestimate' of a 'safe' level), will inevitably be reached around 2035. That degree of global heating will occur, irrespective of any human attempts to minimise effects of catastrophic climate change. As Jochem Marotzke (Max Planck Institute of Meteorology, Hamburg) puts it, any prospect of keeping global heating to under 1.5 degrees Centigrade is simply 'not plausible'!
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